Saturday, November 7, 2009

NFL Week 9 Bettor's Guide

NFL Week 9 Bettor's Guide
M.D. Wright
11.7.09

Another Hit 'n' Run edition this week and last week made for ANOTHER awful week pickin' 'em. But oh well, I'm too busy to care.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Stadium
Jacksonville, Florida

Over/Under: 41.5
JAX: -6.5
KC: +220
JAX: -260

Ugly game. Who even knows what will happen. The Jaguars are BEYOND Schizo. The Chiefs play 3/4 of games, not 60 minutes. I'd say take the under if anything and keep it moving. Not a game to wager on and the stakes aren't even high enough to earn.

Pick:
Kansas City 17
Jacksonville 27

FINAL
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Paul Brown Stadium
Cincinnati, Ohio

Over/Under: 44.5
CIN: +3
BAL: -140
CIN: +120

Tough call here. I WILL say that I think it will come down to a last second FG, like it always seems to with these two teams. I dunno, the Ravens' losses have all come last-minute. The Bengals are FOR REAL, though. And I really think they can run on the Ravens, whose defense isn't what it was in 2000. Flacco is going to lob a few lovely deep passes to Clayton and Mason but I like the Bengals at home by a smidge. PUSH and take the OVER.

Pick:
Baltimore 24
Cincinnati 27

FINAL - OT
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Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis, Indiana

Over/Under: 49.5
IND: -8.5
HOU: +310
IND: -380

Indy, giving 8.5 to a very good offense? I dunno about that one. If you ask me, you can't go wrong with picking Houston to cover and maybe even winning straight up. That +310 is a good payout. Bob Sanders is out for the year for the Colts on defense. Andre Johnson should play, and while the Texans will miss the severely underrated Owen Daniel, I think they will be able to move the ball with ease using Steve Slaton and Schaub through the air. I won't go so far as to say the Texans will WIN, because it is indeed in Indianapolis, but they do play the Colts tough every time they play...

Pick:
Houston 31
Indianapolis 35

FINAL
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Washington Redskins vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Georgia Dome
Atlanta, Georgia

Over/Under: 41
ATL: -8.5
WSH: +350
ATL: -450

Not even wasting my time writing about this BS.

Pick:
Washington 9
Atlanta 28

FINAL
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Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, Florida

Over/Under: 43.5
TB: +9.5
GB: -500
TB: +400

The Bay Of Pigs. And it's gonna stink like a pig sty. This Tampa Bay team looks like a Club Team at a university with no football team.

Pick:
Green Bay 38
Tampa Bay 10

FINAL
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Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears
Soldier Field
Chicago, Illinois

Over/Under: 44.5
CHI: -3
ARZ: +120
CHI: -140

Why are the Cards getting points here? The Bears are a train wreck and their fans know it. The Bears know it. The Cards know it. DAVID ABERNATHY KNOWS IT. Kurt had his one "DEAR GOD, ARE YOU KIDDING ME, WARNER???" game last week and everyone thinks the Cards are set to implode. No. They're going to EXPLODE on these horrid Chicago Bears.

Pick:
Arizona 37
Chicago 20

FINAL
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Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium
Foxborough, Massachusetts

Over/Under: 46.5
NE: -10.5
MIA: +450
NE: -600

Good numbers there. The Fins will give the Pats fits with that Wildcat. And Brady WILL be Going Down more than Mary Blige. -10.5 is too high. The Pats aren't going to be marching up and down the field on this VERY GOOD DEFENSE. And Chad Henne is no bum, either. I hate the Patriots, so I'm picking the Fins to win ha.

Pick:
Miami 31
New England 27

FINAL
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Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints
The Louisiana Superdome
New Orleans, Louisiana

Over/Under: 51.5
NO: -13
CAR: +500
NO: -700

DEAR GOD DO THE SAINTS PLAY EVERY GAME AT HOME SHEESH?

The woeful Panthers have no shot. They only even won last week because of a nightmare by Kurt Warner, reminiscent of the one Jake Delhomme had against the Cardinals the previous game between the two teams. Dumb Jake from earlier this season comes back tomorrow.

Pick:
New Orleans 49
Carolina 10

FINAL
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Detroit Lions vs. Seattle Seahawks
Qwest Field
Seattle, Washington

Over/Under: 42
SEA: -10
DET: +425
SEA: -550

You know it's bad when an AWFUL team GIVES 10 points.

Picks:
Detroit 20
Seattle 24

FINAL
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Tennessee Titans vs. San Francisco 49ers
Candlestick Park
San Francisco, California

Over/Under: 40.5
SF: -4
TEN: +170
SF: -200

You'd THINK this would be the game where the 49ers wake up and realize the NFC West is still tangible for them.

Pick:
Tennessee 13
San Francisco 34

FINAL
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San Diego Chargers vs. New York Football Giants
Giants Stadium
East Rutherford, New Jersey

Over/Under: 48
NYG: -4.5
SD: +200
NYG: -240

Chargers are traveling east, and ranked at the bottom of the league stopping the run AND pass. The Giants will get back on track -- given that it will be 65 degrees tomorrow, Eli won't be tormented by the winds that ripped through New York City this past week. The Giants will establish the run game and look to get their WRs started early against a perplexing Charger defense featuring two of the best CBs in the NFL. Oh well.

Pick:
San Diego 26
NY Giants 31

FINAL
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
***SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL***

Over/Under: 50
PHI: -3
DAL: +120
PHI: -140

A couple of scenarios here. The winner retains first place by themselves in the NFC East. Another thing: if Romo has another consistent Four-Quarter game, you have to begin taking Dallas seriously. THAT'S A BIG IF, however.

The Iggles' defense cannot stop Austin and Witten -- along with the best running game in the NFC. As good as the Iggles' offense is, it isn't consistent. Most of their points come on big plays on special teams and through the passing game. This isn't 1977 and this isn't the Oakland Raiders and John Madden. This is Clock-Management-Bumbling Andy Reid and a one-dimensional Iggle running game.

Pick:
Dallas 34
Philadelphia 31

FINAL
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos
InVesco Field at Mile High Stadium
Denver, Colorado
***MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL***

Over/Under: 40
DEN: +3
PIT: -140
DEN: +120

Why do they keep putting the Steelers on in Prime Time? I know, I know, they "won" the Super Bowl last year but dear GOD they are boring to watch. Orton finally got exposed by a smart defense last week. The Steelers will do the same, but this game won't be watchable. Just follow the scores on NFL Mobile ha. Big Ben HAH. Big RAPIST will throw a back-breaking INT that will seal the game for Denver.

Pick:
Pittsburgh 17
Denver 20

FINAL
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MDW