Friday, November 13, 2009

NFL Week 10 Bettor's Guide

NFL Week 10 Bettor's Guide
M.D. Wright
11.13.09

*EDITOR'S NOTE: Do not get angry with me if the picks don't go as I call them, don't you think if I could pick 'em with 100% accuracy I'd be working in Vegas and not toiling away on Wall Street ha?

**MY LOCK PICKS IN BOLD.

***SHOWDOWN SUNDAY: COLTS VS. PATS

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets
Giants Stadium
East Rutherford, New Jersey

Over/Under: 40.5
NYJ: -7
JAX: +250
NYJ: -300

The way I see it, the Jets had a week to rest, refresh and rebuild for their other half of the schedule. The Jaguars are pretty much a one man team, and if the Jets are able to contain Maurice Jones-Drew as they should, this should be an easy win.

Pick:
Jacksonville 16
NY Jets 27

FINAL
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Denver Broncos vs. Washington Redskins
FedEx Field
Landover, Maryland

Over/Under: 37
WSH: +4
DEN: -190
WSH: 165

How little does Vegas respect Kyle Orton ha? Denver is only giving the cesspool Skins 4 points? The only thing saving the Broncos from a full free fall is this game.

Pick:
Denver 21
Washington 17

FINAL
-----------------

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Heinz Field
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Over/Under: 41.5
PIT: -7
CIN: +260
PIT: -320


At first glance, I would say the Steelers are giving away FAR TOO MANY points. But if you are a bettor, you might use this as your chance to make some quick scratch. The Bengals WILL win this game, and it doesn't matter whether Chad Ocho Cinco brings the mustard or not ha.

Pick:
Cincinnati 24
Pittsburgh 17


FINAL
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Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans
LP Field
Nashville, Tennessee

Over/Under: 41
TEN: -7
BUF: +270
TEN: -330


I'll be nice and just say watch the game to see Chris Johnson and an occasional play by Vince Young. Otherwise, DEAR GOD.

Pick:
Buffalo 13
Tennessee 16


FINAL
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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome
Minneapolis, Minnesota

Over/Under: 47
MIN: -16.5

Ouch.

Pick:
Detroit 10
Minnesota 34


FINAL
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New Orleans Saints vs. St. Louis Rams
Edward Jones Dome
St. Louis, Missouri

Over/Under: 50
STL: +14
NO: -750
STL: +550


The Rams are "ONLY" getting 14 ha? I was hoping to see one of the highest spreads ever on this game. There is no way the Saints don't score less than 40 unless they decide to rest their starters the entire 2nd half. And even then, they may score 42 in the first half.

Too bad for Steven Jackson he's wasting his prime years there.

Pick:
New Orleans 51
St. Louis 17


FINAL
-----------------

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte, North Carolina

Over/Under: 43.5
CAR: +1.5

The Panthers are actually playing decent ball right now. They could catch the Falcons looking ahead to a very important game in Week 11 versus the Giants -- where playoff seeding will play a role. I think the Panthers' running game will deflate the smallish FULCONS defense and Foxie knows now to keep the ball out of Delhomme's hands for the majority of the game. Joe/Jill Panther fan probably goes "SHEESH" at my saying that but hey...

Pick:
Atlanta 17
Carolina 20


FINAL - OT
----------------------

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Miami Dolphins
Land Shark Stadium
Miami Gardens, Florida

Over/Under: 43
MIA: -10
TB: +400
MIA: -500

Hmmmm... the Bucs played their best game in over a year in Week 9. The Dolphins play good in fits and spurts. Upset anyone?

Nahhhh... let's not get carried away.

Pick:
Tampa Bay 13
Miami 24

FINAL
----------------

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders
The Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Oakland, California

Over/Under: 36.5
OAK: -2
KC: +110
OAK: -130

Someone has to "win" this game, I suppose... on a botched pop fly by David DeJesus, the game winning run scores for the A's.

Pick:
Kansas City 2
Oakland 3

FINAL
----------------

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
University of Phoenix Stadium
Glendale, Arizona

Over/Under: 46.5
ARZ: -9
SEA: +300
ARZ: -360

THE SEABAGS ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE!!! The Cards should take care of them within the first half. The 'bags are down to nothing on both sides of the ball.

Pick:
Seattle 9
Arizona 41

FINAL
---------------

Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Diego Chargers
Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego, California

Over/Under: 47
SD: -1

Honestly, it doesn't look good for the Iggles, especially if Westbrook does not play. The Chargers are doing exactly what I said they would; start slow, wake up around Week 7 and go on a 6 game roll. Well, the Iggles are about to get caught up in that wave this week. Owwwwwwwwwwwwww...

Pick:
Philadelphia 23
San Diego 35

FINAL
------------------

Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers
Lambeau Field
Green Bay, Wisconsin

Over/Under: 47.5
GB: +3
DAL: -150
GB: +130

Potential trap game for the Cowboys if they don't watch out. I doubt it will be, because the Packers can't protect Rodgers against ANYONE. Even the worst team in the NFC got to him a half dozen times for sacks. DeMarcus Ware might finally wake up this season in this game.

Pick:
Dallas 27
Green Bay 23

FINAL
----------------

New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts
Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis, Indiana
***SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL***

Over/Under: 49.5
IND: -3
NE: +125
IND: -145

Don't wager on this game. It will make your heart hurt. Just sit back and enjoy. There is nothing worth wagering on; and especially after the Houston game last week, there is no guarantee this game is going OVER, either.

Pick:
New England 27
Indianapolis 31

FINAL
-----------------

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Stadium
Cleveland, Ohio

Over/Under: 40
CLE: +10.5
BAL: -550
CLE: +425

Why did the NFL schedule this TRASH? The Browns were no good last year and everyone knew they would stink this year. Yes, the Ravens' record last year is why they are featured here, but couldn't they have waited until the Ravens played Pittsburgh or teams that have a pulse?

Pick:
Baltimore 31
Cleveland 6


FINAL
----------------

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MDW